Welcome to the January 2019 Surprise Rent Report. Surprise rents declined over the past month. In this report, we'll evaluate trends in the Surprise rental market, including comparisons to cities throughout the metro, state, and nation.
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Welcome to the January 2019 Surprise Rent Report. Surprise rents declined over the past month. In this report, we'll evaluate trends in the Surprise rental market, including comparisons to cities throughout the metro, state, and nation.
Surprise rents have declined 0.5% over the past month, and have decreased slightly by 0.4% in comparison to the same time last year. Currently, median rents in Surprise stand at $1,070 for a one-bedroom apartment and $1,330 for a two-bedroom. This is the third straight month that the city has seen rent decreases after an increase in September. Surprise's year-over-year rent growth lags the state average of 2.9%, as well as the national average of 0.9%.
While rent prices have decreased in Surprise over the past year, the rest of the metro is seeing the opposite trend. Rents have risen in 9 of the largest 10 cities in the Phoenix metro for which we have data. Here's a look at how rents compare across some of the largest cities in the metro.
As rents have fallen slightly in Surprise, many large cities nationwide have seen prices increase, in some cases substantially. Surprise is also more affordable than most large cities across the country.
| City | Median 1BR price | Median 2BR price | M/M price change | Y/Y price change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | $850 | $1,060 | 0.2% | 3.3% |
| Mesa | $870 | $1,080 | 0.1% | 3.2% |
| Chandler | $1,110 | $1,390 | 0.7% | 5.4% |
| Glendale | $910 | $1,130 | -0.1% | 3.5% |
| Scottsdale | $1,060 | $1,320 | 0.4% | 4.1% |
| Gilbert | $1,180 | $1,470 | 0.9% | 4.5% |
| Tempe | $930 | $1,160 | -0.0% | 3.3% |
| Peoria | $1,130 | $1,410 | 0.1% | 5.2% |
| Surprise | $1,070 | $1,330 | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| Avondale | $990 | $1,230 | 0.2% | 2.2% |
| Goodyear | $1,140 | $1,420 | 0.2% | 2.4% |
| Fountain Hills | $1,050 | $1,310 | 1.0% | 4.0% |
Data from private listing sites, including our own, tends to skew toward luxury apartments, which introduces sample bias when estimates are calculated directly from these listings. To address these limitations, we’ve recently made major updates to our methodology, which we believe have greatly improved the accuracy and reliability of our estimates.
Read more about our new methodology below, or see a more detailed post here.
Apartment List is committed to making our rent estimates the best and most accurate available. To do this, we start with reliable median rent statistics from the Census Bureau, then extrapolate them forward to the current month using a growth rate calculated from our listing data. In doing so, we use a same-unit analysis similar to Case-Shiller’s approach, comparing only units that are available across both time periods to provide an accurate picture of rent growth in cities across the country.
Our approach corrects for the sample bias inherent in other private sources, producing results that are much closer to statistics published by the Census Bureau and HUD. Our methodology also allows us to construct a picture of rent growth over an extended period of time, with estimates that are updated each month.
Read more about our methodology here.
Apartment List publishes monthly reports on rental trends for hundreds of cities across the U.S. We intend these reports to be a source of reliable information that help renters and policymakers make sound decisions, and we invest significant time and effort in gathering and analyzing rent data. Our work is covered regularly by journalists across the country.
We are continuously working to improve our methodology and data, with the goal of providing renters with the information that they need to make the best decisions.
